MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 11:00
P. Llamas Ruiz
#145 · Spain
VS
E. Moller
#169 · Denmark
RUIZ
1.32
·
MOLLER
3.53

Odds

Market
Ruiz
Moller
Change
Winner
1.32
3.53
Total
line 18.0
1.25
Over 18.0
3.28
Under 18.0
Total
line 18.5
1.36
Over 18.5
2.69
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
5.3
-7.0 games
1.11
+7 games
Handicap
games
3.56
-6.5 games
1.24
+6.5 games

Player analysis

P. Llamas Ruiz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 223. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving P. Llamas Ruiz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.44Trend mixed

E. Moller comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.2, meaning E. Moller has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving E. Moller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Moller has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -6.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Ruiz
Stat
Moller
64.2%
Win rate
68.4%
138–77
W–L
121–56

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %80%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults0
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults4