J. Thompson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 12.5, with at least one match where J. Thompson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Thompson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Moutet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.