Odds
Player analysis
C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
M. Trungelliti shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 59. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning M. Trungelliti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 1 Apr | Baadi | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 24 Mar | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Machac | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Giron | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-4 | W |
5W 0L last 5
| 1 Apr | Majchrzak | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 31 Mar | Rocha | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 30 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 29 Mar | Barton | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 15 Mar | Cecchinato | 4-6 6-0 6-3 | W |

