B. Tomic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning B. Tomic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Moutet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.