Odds
Player analysis
C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Mar | Giron | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Halys | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Zverev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 19 Mar | Nava | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Tsitsipas | 6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 20 Jan | Dimitrov | 4-6 4-6 3-6 | W |

