Mexico CityClay1/8-finals8 Apr 2026 · 19:10
M. Soto
#304 · Chile
VS
S. Napolitano
#302 · Italy
SOTO
2.44
·
NAPOLITANO
1.559

Odds

Market
Soto
Napolitano
Winner
2.44
1.559
Total
line 24.0
1.89
Over 24.0
1.79
Under 24.0
Total
line 22.5
2
Over 22.5
1.86
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.73
+3.0 games
1.97
-3 games
Handicap
games
1.65
+3.5 games
2.1
-3.5 games

Player analysis

M. Soto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 31.7, with at least one match where M. Soto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Soto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Soto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 1.78Trend up

S. Napolitano has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.3 to 13.8, with at least one match where S. Napolitano was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Napolitano vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Napolitano has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.

DS 1.6Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Soto
Stat
Napolitano
60%
Win rate
53.4%
93–62
W–L
151–132

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2