Odds
Player analysis
E. Nava comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning E. Nava has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
V. Vacherot comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 11.6, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Brooksby | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 13 Apr | Shelton | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 12 Apr | Molcan | 1-6 6-7 | L |
| 11 Apr | Goffin | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 6 Apr | Lehecka | 7-6 6-7 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 9 Apr | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 6 Apr | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | W |

