Odds
Player analysis
A. Nedic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.2 with a downward trend. A. Nedic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Nedic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
M. Trungelliti comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 11.6, with at least one match where M. Trungelliti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Apr | Fomin | 6-4 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Blanch | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Atlangeriev | 6-4 1-6 0-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Krutykh | 6-1 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Stricker | 6-3 6-7 6-2 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 23 Apr | Aguilar | 4-6 6-1 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Aguilar | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Gojo | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Medjedovic | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 12 Apr | Martinez | 7-5 6-7 1-6 | L |

