MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 12:30
M. Trungelliti
#77 · Argentina
VS
D. Merida Aguilar
#102 · Spain
TRUNGELLITI
2.04
·
AGUILAR
1.81

Odds

Market
Trungelliti
Aguilar
Change
Winner
2.04
1.81
Total
line 20.0
1.36
Over 20.0
2.69
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.47
Over 20.5
2.35
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.67
-2.0 games
2
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.64
-2.5 games
2.1
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Trungelliti comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning M. Trungelliti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.04Trend mixed

D. Merida Aguilar has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning D. Merida Aguilar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.26Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Trungelliti
Stat
Aguilar
59.2%
Win rate
60.7%
312–215
W–L
130–84

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

30
Clay 20
Indoor 10
M. Trungelliti vs D. Merida Aguilar head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
LyonClayFinalTrungelliti3-6 6-4 3-6
MadridClay1/16-finalsTrungelliti6-3 6-3
GijonIndoorSemi-finalsTrungelliti3-6 4-6