SavannahClay1/16-finals21 Apr 2026 · 02:15
K. Nishikori
#464 · Japan
VS
C. Smith
#190 · USA

Odds

Market
Nishikori
Smith
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.7
Over 20.5
2.05
Under 20.5
Total
line 22.0
1.94
Over 22.0
1.75
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
2.15
-4.5 games
1.61
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.93
-4.0 games
1.76
+4 games

Player analysis

K. Nishikori comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 18.4, with at least one match where K. Nishikori was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving K. Nishikori vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.98Trend mixed

C. Smith comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -14.9, meaning C. Smith has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving C. Smith vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Smith has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -14.89Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Nishikori
Stat
Smith
69.3%
Win rate
66.7%
124–55
W–L
4–2

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults3