N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

Y. Putintseva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning Y. Putintseva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving Y. Putintseva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.