Odds
Player analysis
J. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
I. Swiatek comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Baptiste | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Siegemund | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Sonmez | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Sakatsume | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Snigur | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 17 Apr | Andreeva | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 15 Apr | Siegemund | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Linette | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |

