Odds
Player analysis
J. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
I. Swiatek comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 23 Apr | Swiatek | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 17 Apr | Swiatek | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Swiatek | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Linette | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 25 Apr | Baptiste | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Siegemund | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Sonmez | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Paolini | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan | Hard | Quarter-finals | Paolini | 6-1 6-2 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Final | Swiatek | 7-5 6-4 | |
| Bad Homburg | Grass | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 | |
| WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group | Hard | Swiatek | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| WTA French Open | Clay | Final | Swiatek | 6-2 6-1 | |
| US Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Swiatek | 6-3 |

