Odds
Player analysis
J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Muchova | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Sakkari | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Day | 0-6 6-7 | W |
| 12 Feb | Swiatek | 6-2 4-6 5-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 2-6 6-1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tomljanovic | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Potapova | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 1 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 28 Feb | Paolini | 0-6 6-3 6-3 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan | Hard | Quarter-finals | Paolini | 6-1 6-2 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Final | Swiatek | 7-5 6-4 | |
| Bad Homburg | Grass | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 | |
| WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group | Hard | Swiatek | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| WTA French Open | Clay | Final | Swiatek | 6-2 6-1 | |
| US Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Swiatek | 6-3 |