RomeClay1/8-finals11 May 2026 · 16:00
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VS
A. Potapova
#38 · Austria
PEGULA
1.5
·
POTAPOVA
2.67

Odds

Market
Pegula
Potapova
Change
Winner
1.5
2.67
Total
line 17.5
1.16
Over 17.5
4.1
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.19
Over 18.0
3.78
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
7.8
-7.5 games
1.06
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
7.3
-7.0 games
1.07
+7 games

Player analysis

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 71. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +14.0, trending upward over the last three matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 13.99Trend up

A. Potapova arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +13.6, trending upward over the last three matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 13.6Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pegula
Stat
Potapova
58.9%
Win rate
62.6%
76–53
W–L
67–40

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
Aces2
Double faults1
BP saved80%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

30
Hard 30
J. Pegula vs A. Potapova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA MiamiHardQuarter-finalsPegula4-6 6-3 7-6
WTA Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsPegula6-3 4-6 5-7
US OpenHard1/64-finalsPegula2-6 2-6