E. Raducanu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.3, meaning E. Raducanu has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving E. Raducanu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-41 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.