Odds
Player analysis
M. Sakkari comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning M. Sakkari has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 1 Apr | Badosa | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Parks | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Swiatek | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Tagger | 7-5 6-0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Muchova | 6-3 4-6 1-6 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 5 Apr | Starodubtseva | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jovic | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Shnaider | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Cocciaretto | 1-6 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Putintseva | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal | Hard | 1/32-finals | Pegula | 5-7 4-6 | |
| Adelaide | Hard | 1/8-finals | Pegula | 6-4 6-1 | |
| WTA Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Pegula | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| WTA Tokyo | Indoor | Semi-finals | Pegula | 2-6 3-6 | |
| WTA Washington | Hard | Semi-finals | Sakkari | 3-6 6-4 2-6 | |
| Doha | Hard | Semi-finals | Pegula | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | |
| Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Sakkari | 6-7 6-7 | ||
| Guadalajara 2 | Hard | Final | Pegula | 6-2 6-3 | |
| Doha | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sakkari | 4-6 5-7 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | 1/8-finals | Pegula | 7-6 6-3 |