BeijingHard1/32-finals27 Sep 2025 · 09:50
A. Tomljanovic
#81 · Australia
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA

Odds

Market
Tomljanovic
Pegula
Winner

Player analysis

A. Tomljanovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 6.03Trend down

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 7.36Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

8 MarPaolini5-7 7-5 1-6L
6 MarWang3-6 1-6W
4 MarRuse7-5 6-2W
27 FebBirrell6-3 6-3L
27 FebJovic4-6 6-4 6-4W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

13 MarRybakina1-6 6-7L
11 MarBencic6-3 7-6W
9 MarOstapenko4-6 6-3 6-2W
8 MarVekic4-6 6-2 6-3W
21 FebSvitolina2-6 4-6W

Hard court stats

Tomljanovic
Stat
Pegula
52.3%
Win rate
66.4%
194–177
W–L
290–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

04
Hard 03
Clay 01
A. Tomljanovic vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BeijingHard1/32-finalsPegula0-6 3-6
CharlestonClay1/8-finalsPegula6-3 6-2
AustinHardSemi-finalsPegula6-1 4-6 6-3
WTA United CupHardPegula7-6 6-3