Odds
Player analysis
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+53) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sinner | 6-1 6-3 6-4 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | |
| Montreal | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rublev | 3-6 6-1 2-6 | |
| ATP Australian Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 6-4 7-6 6-3 | |
| ATP Vienna | Indoor | Semi-finals | Sinner | 5-7 6-7 | |
| ATP Miami | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sinner | 6-2 6-4 | |
| Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sinner | 7-5 1-6 3-6 |