M. Sakkari comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning M. Sakkari has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

D. Vekic shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 159. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 12.4, with at least one match where D. Vekic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Vekic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vekic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.