Odds
Player analysis
L. Siegemund comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning L. Siegemund has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Siegemund vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Siegemund has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 26.9, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Mar | Svitolina | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Marcinko | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kasatkina | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Gracheva | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Inglis | 6-4 6-7 7-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Mar | Krueger | 6-3 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Fernandez | 7-5 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Frech | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 5 Feb | Baptiste | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 3 Feb | Tjen | 6-2 6-2 | W |

