Odds
Player analysis
P. Stearns comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 26.9, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
C. Tauson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Tauson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Tauson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Boisson | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 2 Apr | Kessler | 0-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Krueger | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 21 Mar | Cristian | 4-6 5-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Mar | Gibson | 7-6 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 6 Mar | Putintseva | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 19 Feb | Pegula | 3-6 6-2 4-6 | L |
| 18 Feb | Linette | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Stearns | 2-6 4-6 | W |

