OsakaHardSemi-finals13 Oct 2025 · 04:40
M. Yamaguchi
#279 · Japan
VS
T. Townsend
#80 · USA

Odds

Market
Yamaguchi
Townsend
Winner

Player analysis

M. Yamaguchi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.8 to 7.2, with at least one match where M. Yamaguchi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Yamaguchi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.39Trend mixed

T. Townsend has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.7 with a downward trend. T. Townsend is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Townsend vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 4.74Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

6 FebTian2-6 6-2 2-6L
4 FebKabbaj4-6 6-4 7-6W
2 FebIatcenko7-5 3-6 3-6W
30 OctGarland5-7 7-5 7-5L
26 OctRodionova6-2 4-6 2-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

8 MarKostyuk6-3 6-2L
5 MarBouzkova2-6 1-6W
3 MarUrhobo0-6 6-7W
2 MarGarland4-6 4-6W
1 MarStearns6-7 5-7L

Hard court stats

Yamaguchi
Stat
Townsend
51%
Win rate
56.6%
79–76
W–L
150–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3