OsakaHardSemi-finals13 Oct 2025 · 04:40
M. Yamaguchi
#282 · Japan
VS
T. Townsend
#90 · USA
YAMAGUCHI
9.83
·
TOWNSEND
1.07

Odds

Market
Yamaguchi
Townsend
Winner
9.83
1.07
Total
line 16.5
1.55
Over 16.5
2.5
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.7
Over 17.0
2.17
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
3.24
-3.5 games
1.28
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.96
-4.0 games
1.33
+4 games

Player analysis

M. Yamaguchi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.8 to 7.2, with at least one match where M. Yamaguchi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Yamaguchi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.39Trend mixed

T. Townsend has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Townsend vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 7.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Yamaguchi
Stat
Townsend
51%
Win rate
56.6%
79–76
W–L
150–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2