Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Sunday, March 22, 2026
20 matches · ATP 0 · WTA 0 · CH 20
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
A. Shelbayh vs A. Garcia Garcia Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.04 → 1.02 | -2.1% | ↗ |
J. E. Schiessl vs L. Bojicic Ono Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.01 → 1.01 | -0.7% | ↗ |
T. Wuerth vs V. Kozak Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.02 → 1.01 | -0.6% | ↗ |
D. Obradovic vs C. Thomson Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.14 → 1.29 | +13.4% | ↗ |
H. Barton vs N. McDonald Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 3.81 → 2.40 | -37.0% | ↗ |
A. Petkovic vs T. C. Grant Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.06 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
N. Noha Akugue vs M. Liu Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.02 → 1.01 | -0.7% | ↗ |
W. Leite vs G. Pinheiro da Cruz Junior Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.05 → 1.04 | -1.2% | ↗ |
M. Karol vs A. Oetzbach Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.22 → 1.34 | +9.5% | ↗ |
A. Detiuc vs A. K. Toth Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.04 → 1.03 | -0.7% | ↗ |
P. H. Chabalgoity vs J. Ingildsen Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.23 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
F. Bass vs J. C. Martin Manzano Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.11 → 1.16 | +4.2% | ↗ |
R. Matsuda vs J. Boulais Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 3.41 → 2.78 | -18.5% | ↗ |
S. Nahimana vs S. Sorribes Tormo Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.32 → 1.26 | -4.7% | ↗ |
M. Polmans vs M. Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.64 → 1.51 | -8.0% | ↗ |
F. Roncadelli vs G. Cadenasso Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.50 → 1.42 | -5.3% | ↗ |
K. Piter vs M. Ristic Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.09 → 1.08 | -1.4% | ↗ |
D. Yevseyev vs M. Vrbensky Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.77 → 1.63 | -7.7% | ↗ |
Ch. Negritu vs N. Barrientos Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.25 → 1.31 | +5.0% | ↗ |
T. Dummer Macedo vs R. Tosetto Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.12 → 1.14 | +2.1% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Sunday, March 22, 2026
80 Pinnacle tennis markets closed on March 22, 2026, spanning 12 tournaments across clay and hard court. The odds tracker recorded an average line movement of 4.1% from open to close, with 19 markets showing shifts of 5% or above. Neutral was the dominant direction of movement, accounting for 50% of all markets. Detailed match-by-match analysis below.
Biggest Odds Shifts in Tennis — March 22, 2026
Market analysis for March 22, 2026 identifies five matches where Pinnacle adjusted odds most aggressively. H. Barton vs N. McDonald in CH-M Naples led all movers at -37.0%, with the odds moving from 3.81 at open to 2.40 at close (sharp money entered on the favourite). Next was R. Matsuda in CH-M Yokkaichi at -18.5% (3.41 → 2.78, also driven by sharp money on the favourite), followed by D. Obradovic in CH-M Split at +13.4% (1.14 → 1.29, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite).
Fourth and fifth: M. Kostyuk in WTA Miami at +11.4% (4.31 → 4.80, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog) and M. Damm in ATP Miami at +9.8% (9.68 → 10.63, the market moved against the favourite). A combined total of 90.1 percentage points of movement — 4.4x what you'd expect from five average markets — illustrates how much Pinnacle's model revised its probability estimates for these particular matches on March 22, 2026.
Market Direction on March 22, 2026 — Pinnacle Tennis
March 22, 2026 line movement breakdown: 80 total markets, 19 significant movers (>5%), 28 odds shortened, 38 drifted, 14 unchanged. The largest single move was 37.0% on N. McDonald. The smallest non-zero move was 0.1% on D. Cukierman in CH-M Sao Paulo. Challenger events accounted for 81% of the day's markets and 74% of significant moves — consistent with higher variance in lower-tier markets.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current odds, shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.