Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Saturday, March 21, 2026
20 matches · ATP 10 · WTA 7 · CH 3
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
T. Daniel vs A. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.65 → 1.65 | 0.0% | ↗ |
A. Rublev vs A. Tabilo ATP - Singles: Miami | 2.67 → 3.06 | +14.6% | ↗ |
A. Zakharova vs V. Mboko WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.17 → 1.15 | -1.1% | ↗ |
G. Diallo vs U. Humbert ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.81 → 1.70 | -6.0% | ↗ |
F. Cerundolo vs T. A. Tirante ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.25 → 1.30 | +3.4% | ↗ |
M. Andreeva vs M. Bouzkova WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.19 → 1.17 | -1.1% | ↗ |
A. Gea vs K. Jacquet Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.92 → 1.78 | -7.1% | ↗ |
R. Sakamoto vs D. Medvedev ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.06 → 1.07 | +1.0% | ↗ |
D. Shnaider vs B. Bencic WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.45 → 1.42 | -1.9% | ↗ |
M. Navone vs V. Vacherot ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.50 → 1.47 | -2.1% | ↗ |
A. Michelsen vs C. Norrie ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.65 → 1.64 | -0.7% | ↗ |
S. Cirstea vs E. Mertens WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.76 → 1.83 | +4.3% | ↗ |
A. Vukic vs R. Jodar ATP - Singles: Miami | 4.23 → 4.06 | -4.0% | ↗ |
A. Anisimova vs Y. Starodubtseva WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.11 → 1.12 | +1.0% | ↗ |
A. Walton vs J. Mensik ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.31 → 1.33 | +1.8% | ↗ |
M. Dodig vs S. Travaglia Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.66 → 1.61 | -3.1% | ↗ |
K. Majchrzak vs L. Tien ATP - Singles: Miami | 3.55 → 3.66 | +3.1% | ↗ |
F. Jones vs J. Pegula WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.04 → 1.04 | -0.1% | ↗ |
P. Stearns vs J. Cristian WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.66 → 1.63 | -2.0% | ↗ |
A. Davidovich Fokina vs Q. Halys ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.39 → 1.42 | +1.5% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Saturday, March 21, 2026
The March 21, 2026 Pinnacle odds archive records 40 completed tennis markets on clay and hard. 38% of all lines moved in favour of the favourite (odds shortened), while 28% drifted (odds lengthened). Average absolute line shift for the day was 2.5%. 3 matches exceeded the 5% threshold typically associated with meaningful sharp activity. The top movers are analysed below.
Top 5 Pinnacle Line Movements on March 21, 2026
Sorted by absolute percentage change, the top five Pinnacle line movers on March 21, 2026 were: A. Rublev vs A. Tabilo (ATP Miami, +14.6%, 2.67 → 3.06, the market moved against Rublev, who opened as the favorite); A. Gea vs K. Jacquet (CH-M Zadar (ITF Challenger Men's event in Zadar), -7.1%, 1.92 → 1.78, sharp money entered on the favorite — note: player name A. Gea could not be verified against current ATP/WTA records and may reflect a data display error); G. Diallo vs U. Humbert (ATP Miami, -6.0%, 1.81 → 1.70, sharp money entered on the favorite); S. Cirstea vs E. Mertens (WTA Miami, +4.3%, 1.76 → 1.83, odds drifted — money flow favored the underdog); A. Vukic vs R. Jodar (player name unverified — possibly Rodrigo Jodar or similar) (ATP Miami, -4.0%, 4.23 → 4.06, sharp money entered on the favorite). Of these five, three crossed the 5% threshold — Rublev/Tabilo (+14.6%), Gea/Jacquet (-7.1%), and Diallo/Humbert (-6.0%) — while Cirstea/Mertens (+4.3%) and Vukic/Jodar (-4.0%) fell just short.
The top mover was the A. Rublev vs A. Tabilo match at ATP Miami, where Rublev's price shifted +14.6% — 5.8 times the day's average movement — indicating the market moved against Rublev, the opening favorite. When a single match moves this far from open, it typically reflects either late injury or withdrawal news, sharp syndicate activity, or a significant mismatch between public and professional opinion on the match outcome.
March 21, 2026 Odds Movement Summary
The March 21, 2026 Pinnacle tennis market showed no clear directional bias — sharp line movement and drift were nearly even across the day's 40 matches. Average movement was 2.5%, down from yesterday's 3.6%, with the three markets exceeding the 5% sharp-activity threshold all coming from ATP Miami or the Zadar Challenger. The ATP Miami had the most matches of the day, averaging 2.1% per match. Zero-movement markets — where Pinnacle held its opening price — numbered 14, representing 35% of the day's activity.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current price, shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favorite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favorite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalize the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.