Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Saturday, March 28, 2026
20 matches · ATP 6 · WTA 12 · CH 2
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
A. Sabalenka vs C. Gauff WTA - Singles: Miami | 3.35 → 4.04 | +20.6% | ↗ |
A. Bolt vs A. Rybakov ATP - Singles: Houston | 1.79 → 1.58 | -11.7% | ↗ |
E. Vedder vs A. Ito WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.62 → 1.47 | -9.3% | ↗ |
E. Kalieva vs M. Brengle WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.51 → 1.41 | -6.6% | ↗ |
A. Urhobo vs W. Osuigwe WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.83 → 2.07 | +13.4% | ↗ |
C. Brace vs B. Cengiz WTA - Singles: Bogota | 1.79 → 1.56 | -13.1% | ↗ |
H. Giavara vs K. Day WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.14 → 1.18 | +3.4% | ↗ |
E. S. Liang vs S. Janicijevic WTA - Singles: Bogota | 1.67 → 1.56 | -6.5% | ↗ |
S. Dostanic vs A. Andrade ATP - Singles: Houston | 1.85 → 1.70 | -8.0% | ↗ |
K. Mladenovic vs M. Stoiana WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.28 → 1.34 | +4.7% | ↗ |
Y. Starodubtseva vs A. Akli WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.12 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
Dar. Blanch vs G. A. Olivieri ATP - Singles: Houston | 1.66 → 1.58 | -4.9% | ↗ |
J. Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolf ATP - Singles: Houston | 1.91 → 1.79 | -6.4% | ↗ |
D. Vidmanova vs K. Jokic WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.07 → 1.08 | +0.9% | ↗ |
A. Kalinina vs T. Zidansek Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.38 → 1.34 | -2.8% | ↗ |
U. M. Arconada vs V. Tomova WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.25 → 1.27 | +2.3% | ↗ |
G. Debru vs A. Galarneau ATP - Singles: Houston | 1.59 → 1.55 | -3.1% | ↗ |
P. Kudermetova vs C. Ansari WTA - Singles: Charleston | 1.10 → 1.11 | +1.4% | ↗ |
D. E. Galan vs C. Tabur ATP - Singles: Houston | 1.70 → 1.79 | +5.2% | ↗ |
A. Lazaro Garcia vs M. Sherif Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.70 → 1.67 | -1.9% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Saturday, March 28, 2026
34 Pinnacle tennis markets closed on March 28, 2026, spanning 10 tournaments across clay and hard courts. The odds tracker recorded an average line movement of 5.0% from open to close, with 10 markets showing shifts of 5% or above. Balanced movement was the dominant direction, accounting for 50% of all markets. Detailed match-by-match analysis below.
Where the Market Moved Most on March 28, 2026
The largest line movement of that day was recorded in WTA Miami: A. Sabalenka vs C. Gauff saw the line shift +20.6% from 3.35 at open to 4.04 at final close (the market moved against Sabalenka, the favourite, whose odds drifted outward). Movement of this magnitude — representing a +20.6% shift in decimal odds — indicates sustained interest from one side of the market throughout the day.
Second on the list was A. Urhobo vs W. Osuigwe in WTA Charleston, where the line moved +13.4% (1.83 → 2.07, sharp money entered on the underdog). The third-largest shift came from WTA Bogota: C. Brace vs B. Cengiz at -13.1% (1.79 → 1.56, sharp money entered on the favourite).
Rounding out the top five: A. Bolt vs A. Rybakov in ATP Houston at -11.7% (1.79 → 1.58, sharp money entered on the favourite), and E. Vedder vs A. Ito in WTA Charleston at -9.3% (1.62 → 1.47, sharp money entered on the favourite). Combined, these five matches account for the most significant pricing adjustments Pinnacle made on March 28, 2026.
How the Lines Moved on March 28, 2026
To summarise that day: Pinnacle moved 10 of its 34 tennis markets by 5% or more. Lines shortened on 18 matches — consistent with sharp money flowing toward those favourites — and lengthened on 10, indicating money on the underdog side; the remaining 6 markets were broadly unchanged. The net market sentiment was roughly balanced between shortening and drifting odds. For bettors using line movement as a pre-match signal, the same date offered 10 markets with actionable movement, led by C. Gauff in WTA Miami at +20.6%.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current price, shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.