Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Friday, March 27, 2026
20 matches · ATP 1 · WTA 0 · CH 19
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
R. Safiullin vs M. Houkes Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 3.24 → 3.98 | +22.8% | ↗ |
L. Neumayer vs K. Coppejans Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.78 → 1.65 | -7.4% | ↗ |
M. Mrva vs K. Coppejans Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.68 → 1.67 | -0.5% | ↗ |
S. Gueymard Wayenburg vs A. Nedic Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.94 → 1.83 | -5.6% | ↗ |
A. Kalinina vs P. Hercog Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.24 → 1.22 | -1.7% | ↗ |
A. Charaeva vs A. Lazaro Garcia Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.81 → 1.92 | +5.7% | ↗ |
H. Medjedovic vs A. Muller Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 2.44 → 2.30 | -5.7% | ↗ |
T. Gentzsch vs A. Vasilev Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.48 → 1.45 | -1.9% | ↗ |
J. P. Ficovich vs L. Pavlovic Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.85 → 1.81 | -2.3% | ↗ |
M. Sherif vs L. Romero Gormaz Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 2.43 → 2.53 | +4.1% | ↗ |
A. Barrena vs R. A. Burruchaga Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.39 → 1.39 | 0.0% | ↗ |
M. Dodig vs M. Poljicak Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.76 → 1.81 | +3.1% | ↗ |
E. Nava vs J. Faria Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.58 → 1.62 | +2.7% | ↗ |
S. Ofner vs M. Cecchinato Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.44 → 1.48 | +2.7% | ↗ |
M. Ribecai vs F. Bondioli Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 2.07 → 2.02 | -2.4% | ↗ |
V. Sachko vs F. Cina Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 2.71 → 2.75 | +1.5% | ↗ |
H. Matsuoka vs S. Kwon Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 6.00 → 6.06 | +1.0% | ↗ |
T. Zidansek vs V. Erjavec Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.69 → 1.69 | -0.5% | ↗ |
F. Sun vs Y. Uchiyama Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 1.51 → 1.50 | -0.9% | ↗ |
J. Lehecka vs A. Fils ATP - Singles: Miami | 2.37 → 2.39 | +0.8% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Friday, March 27, 2026
The March 27, 2026 Pinnacle odds archive records 30 completed tennis markets on clay and hard. 37% of all lines moved in favour of the favourite (odds shortened), while 33% drifted (odds lengthened), with the remaining 30% unchanged. Average absolute line shift for the day was 3.5%. 5 matches met or exceeded the ≥5% threshold typically associated with meaningful sharp activity. The top movers are analysed below.
Biggest Odds Shifts in Tennis — March 27, 2026
Market analysis for March 27, 2026 identifies five matches where Pinnacle adjusted odds most aggressively. R. Safiullin vs M. Houkes in CH-M Montemar led all movers at +22.8%, with the line travelling from 3.24 at open to 3.98 at close (3.24 → 3.98, the market moved against the favourite). Next was L. Neumayer in CH-M Split at -7.4% (1.78 → 1.65, odds shortened — sharp money backed the favourite), followed by A. Muller in CH-M Naples at -5.7% (2.44 → 2.30, odds shortened — money concentrated on the favourite).
Fourth and fifth: A. Lazaro Garcia in CH-W Dubrovnik at +5.7% (1.81 → 1.92, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog) and S. Gueymard Wayenburg in CH-M Split at -5.6% (1.94 → 1.83, odds shortened — sustained pressure on the favourite). A combined total of 47.4 percentage points of movement — 2.7x what you'd expect from five average markets — illustrates how much Pinnacle's model revised its probability estimates for these particular matches on March 27, 2026.
Market Direction on March 27, 2026 — Pinnacle Tennis
March 27, 2026 line movement breakdown: 30 total markets, 5 significant movers (>5%), 11 odds shortened, 10 drifted, 9 unchanged. The largest single move was 22.8% on M. Houkes. The smallest non-zero move was 0.3% on R. Noguchi in CH-M Yokkaichi. Challenger events accounted for 93% of the day's markets and 100% of significant moves — consistent with higher variance in lower-tier markets.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price. On live markets the current price is labelled CUR; on archive pages (such as this one) it is labelled CLOSE. The Δ% column shows the percentage change between the two. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CLOSE − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.