Morning Preview
PUBLISHEDClay dominates the weekend draw with 39 matches across 16 tournaments on March 28, headlined by ATP and WTA Miami's Masters 1000 events. The slate spans competitive depth from elite hard courts in Miami to Challenger-level clay circuits in South America, generating 44 matches total. Overnight action produced a mixed outcome with five favourites advancing against two underdogs, including a 1.48-rated victory for J. Faria at Sao Paulo.
NIGHT Overnight action delivered seven matches with modest volatility across clay courts. Favourites held firm at a 71.4% conversion rate, with J. Faria's 2-6 6-3 2-6 victory over F. Meligeni Alves in Sao Paulo's quarterfinals standing as the session's marquee result. The market showed a mixed bag overall—5 favourites and 2 underdogs advanced—suggesting no pronounced directional bias in the price.
TOURNAMENT SLATE Clay dominates the calendar with 39 of 44 scheduled matches across 16 tournaments on March 28. Miami anchors the day as the marquee event, hosting parallel ATP and WTA M1000 draws worth $9.4 million each, while secondary action spans from the WTA 1000 clay events in Charleston and Bogota down through seven Challenger-tier tournaments. Four tournaments—Barletta, Miyazaki, San Luis Potosi, and Sao Leopoldo—have been postponed, reducing the initially planned slate.
| Tournament | Level | Surface | Prize Fund | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Charleston | W1000 | clay | $2,300,000 | 13 |
| WTA Bogota | W1000 | clay | $283,347 | 8 |
| ATP Houston | ATP | clay | $700,045 | 8 |
| Sao Paulo | CH / ITF | clay | — | 2 |
| Dubrovnik | CH 75 | clay | $115,000 | 2 |
| Montemar | CH / ITF | clay | — | 2 |
| Naples | CH / ITF | clay | — | 2 |
| Split | CH / ITF | clay | $61,236 | 2 |
| Yokkaichi | CH / ITF | hard | $63,000 | 2 |
| ATP Miami | M1000 | hard | $9,415,725 | 1 |
| WTA Miami | M1000 | hard | $9,415,725 | 1 |
| Morelia | CH 125 | hard | $225,000 | 1 |
| Barletta | CH 75 | clay | $105,451 | — postponed |
| Miyazaki (Japan) | ATP/WTA | hard | — | — postponed |
| San Luis Potosi | CH / ITF | clay | — | — postponed |
| Sao Leopoldo | CH 75 | clay | $107,000 | — postponed |
MIAMI SEMI-FINAL: SINNER VS. ZVEREV Jannik Sinner carries 1.14 odds into his Miami semi-final against Alexander Zverev, who sits at 6.72 despite holding the higher ranking at World No. 3. The matchup pits the tournament's second-ranked player against a significant underdog in what represents the draw's headliner on hard court. Sinner's odds reflect his trajectory through the event and consistency on the surface, while Zverev's lengthier price suggests the market perceives substantial barriers to his advance.
With 44 matches across 16 tournaments on the schedule, clay courts dominate the day's action at 39 surfaces, headlined by the WTA and ATP Miami Masters events. The overnight slate produced a largely predictable outcome: five favourites advanced against two underdogs, a mixed bag for the market that underscores the volatility within lower-tier Challenger draws. Postponements across four venues—including Barletta, Miyazaki, San Luis Potosi, and Sao Leopoldo—will require monitoring for rescheduling details as the week progresses.
A. Zverev vs J. SinnerMiami ATP Miami - Semi-finals. H2H A. Zverev 7-3 J. Sinner. Hard form: A. Zverev 35-17 · J. Sinner 50-3. Pinnacle: 6.72 · 1.14. View full match card
Midday Results
PUBLISHEDMidday Results — March 28, 2026
Halfway through March 28, 2026: 16 encounters completed, 10 live. 23 still ahead. The afternoon session carries the biggest prizes — Miami ATP Miami - Semi-finals among them. 13 favourites claimed victory from 16 encounters, with 3 underdog triumphs. Progress:
The morning's standout result came from Split where M. Poljicak defeated K. Coppejans despite opening at 2.32 on Pinnacle. The 3-6 6-4 6-4 scoreline confirmed that the market significantly underestimated the winner.
On the odds front, M. I. Higuita Barraza in Bogota has seen the most significant Pinnacle movement of the morning: from 7.42 to 24.32 — a 227.8% shift. Track all live Pinnacle movements on the Odds Tracker.
Evening Update
PUBLISHEDEvening Update — March 28, 2026
31 of 47 encounters are complete on March 28, 2026. The day has produced 28 favourite wins (90.3%), 11 three-set encounters and 15 tiebreaks. 3 underdogs have come through. Full statistics below.
On the numbers: 90.3% of favourites prevailed by 21:00 UTC. 11 encounters went the distance at 35.5%. 15 tiebreaks played. 6 sets ended 6-0.
Full Day Recap
FINALFull Day Recap — March 28, 2026
March 28, 2026 is wrapped. 40 encounters completed across 15 tournaments. 37 favourites secured the win (92.5%), 3 underdogs secured the win, 16 encounters went three sets, 18 tiebreaks played. Full breakdown below.
J. Faria secured the win the Sao Paulo title on March 28, 2026, accounted for H. Dellien 6-4 6-1. The Pinnacle closing line for J. Faria moved +3.8%.
Closing line value summary for March 28, 2026: H. Giavara led all movers at +15.0% in Charleston. Full CLV data for every encounter on March 28, 2026 is available on the CLV archive page.
That concludes the March 28, 2026 daily digest — return tomorrow for the next full day of Pinnacle tennis tracking, predictions and CLV analysis.