Odds
Player analysis
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Hard | ATP Semi-finals | Sinner | 3-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Indian Wells - Semi-finals | Sinner | 2-6 4-6 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Sinner | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Paris | Indoor | Semi-finals | Sinner | 0-6 1-6 | |
| Vienna | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | Final | Sinner | 6-3 7-6 6-3 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Semi-finals | Sinner | 7-6 5-7 7-6 | |
| ATP US Open | Hard | 1/8-finals | Zverev | 6-4 3-6 6-2 4-6 6-3 | |
| Monte Carlo | Clay | Quarter-finals | Zverev | 7-5 3-6 6-7 | |
| US Open | Hard | 1/8-finals | Zverev | 6-4 6-4 7-6 |

