J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 75. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 13.5, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.