O. Virtanen comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.4 to 9.5, with at least one match where O. Virtanen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving O. Virtanen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+38) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.