MiamiHardATP Semi-finals17 Mar 2026 · 00:40
D. Merida Aguilar
#101 · Spain
VS
D. Svrcina
#121 · Czech Republic
AGUILAR
2.69
·
SVRCINA
1.49

Odds

Market
Aguilar
Svrcina
Winner
2.69
1.49
Total
line 19.0
1.38
Over 19.0
2.62
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.49
Over 19.5
2.3
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.21
-2.0 games
1.56
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.08
-2.5 games
1.65
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+38) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 7.16Trend mixed

D. Svrcina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning D. Svrcina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Svrcina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.54Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Aguilar
Stat
Svrcina
56.7%
Win rate
61.1%
59–45
W–L
102–65

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 20
D. Merida Aguilar vs D. Svrcina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardATP Semi-finalsAguilar6-7 6-4 7-6
US OpenHardQuarter-finalsAguilar6-1 3-6 5-7