MiamiHardATP Final17 Mar 2026 · 23:00
Z. Svajda
#84 · USA
VS
D. Merida Aguilar
#101 · Spain

Odds

Market
Svajda
Aguilar
Winner

Player analysis

Z. Svajda comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning Z. Svajda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Z. Svajda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS -3.13Trend down

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+38) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 7.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Svajda
Stat
Aguilar
55.8%
Win rate
56.7%
134–106
W–L
59–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2