Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
V. Royer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning V. Royer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Apr | Virtanen | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sinner | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Bublik | 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 9 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | W |

