C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 26 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

O. Virtanen comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.4 to 10.0, with at least one match where O. Virtanen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving O. Virtanen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.