Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.0 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 10 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Machac | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Humbert | 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Lehecka | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Mar | Zverev | 3-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Others matches | Alcaraz | 5-7 6-7 | |||
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 5-7 | |
| Six Kings Slam | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 2-6 4-6 | |
| US Open | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 1-6 4-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Final | Sinner | 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 | |
| French Open | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6 4-6 6-7 6-7 | |
| Rome | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-7 1-6 | |
| Six Kings Slam | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 6-3 6-3 | |
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 7-6 4-6 6-7 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 |