Odds
Player analysis
A. Tomljanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where A. Tomljanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Vekic | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Anisimova | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 17 Mar | Waltert | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Wang | 3-6 1-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 22 Mar | Cristian | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 20 Mar | Tagger | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Linette | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Ostapenko | 4-6 2-6 | L |

