MonterreyHard1/8-finals21 Aug 2025 · 06:10
A. Tomljanovic
#83 · Australia
VS
E. Alexandrova
#13 · Russia
TOMLJANOVIC
4.16
·
ALEXANDROVA
1.27

Odds

Market
Tomljanovic
Alexandrova
Winner
4.16
1.27
Total
line 17.5
1.25
Over 17.5
3.44
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.42
Over 18.5
2.88
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.84
-2.5 games
1.35
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.65
-3.0 games
1.4
+3 games

Player analysis

A. Tomljanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where A. Tomljanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 2.85Trend mixed

E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.

DS -3.59Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Tomljanovic
Stat
Alexandrova
52.3%
Win rate
60.9%
194–177
W–L
227–146

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces4
Double faults3