D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. D. Altmaier is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

N. Jarry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Jarry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.