Mexico CityClaySemi-finals6 Apr 2026 · 00:50
K. Poling
#567 · USA
VS
M. Alves
#504 · Brazil
POLING
3.13
·
ALVES
1.373

Odds

Market
Poling
Alves
Change
Winner
3.13
1.373
Total
line 22.0
1.99
Over 22.0
1.81
Under 22.0
Total
line 21.0
1.73
Over 21.0
1.97
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
2
+3.5 games
1.8
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.67
+4.5 games
2.06
-4.5 games

Player analysis

K. Poling comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving K. Poling vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Poling has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.

DS 6.68Trend up

M. Alves comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.0, meaning M. Alves has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Alves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.96Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Poling
Stat
Alves
51.9%
Win rate
56%
14–13
W–L
131–103

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults3
BP converted20%