Odds
Player analysis
S. Sorger comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning S. Sorger has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving S. Sorger vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
L. Angelini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning L. Angelini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Angelini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 1 Feb | Angelini | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 18 Jan | Binda | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 18 Nov | Yevseyev | 7-5 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 18 Sep | Carreno-Busta | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Kovalik | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 3 Feb | Rottoli | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 2 Feb | Poljak | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 1 Feb | Sorger | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 25 Nov | Vylegzhanin | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Hurrion | 6-4 3-6 3-6 | W |

