J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

A. Anisimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Anisimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Anisimova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -43 over recent matches.