MadridClay1/16-finals26 Apr 2026 · 11:00
A. Potapova
#56 · Austria
VS
J. Ostapenko
#40 · Latvia

Odds

Market
Potapova
Ostapenko
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.81
Over 21.5
2.06
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.03
Over 22.5
1.7
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.75
+2.5 games
1.99
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.87
+2.0 games
1.99
-2 games

Player analysis

A. Potapova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where A. Potapova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.06Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.6 to 16.3, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.44Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Potapova
Stat
Ostapenko
62.6%
Win rate
61.2%
67–40
W–L
79–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults7