BrisbaneHardSemi-finals3 Jan 2026 · 08:15
M. Arnaldi
#103 · Italy
VS
H. Gaston
#115 · France
ARNALDI
1.53
·
GASTON
2.59

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Gaston
Winner
1.53
2.59

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS -5.36Trend up

H. Gaston comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.7 to 43.7, with at least one match where H. Gaston was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 1.58Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Gaston
51.3%
Win rate
54%
81–77
W–L
116–99

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted80%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3