MadridClay20 Apr 2026 · 16:00
D. Lajovic
#134 · Serbia
VS
M. Arnaldi
#105 · Italy
LAJOVIC
2.01
·
ARNALDI
1.7

Odds

Market
Lajovic
Arnaldi
Change
Winner
2.01
1.7
Total
line 20.0
1.4
Over 20.0
2.56
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.5
Over 20.5
2.28
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.73
-2.0 games
1.97
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.66
-2.5 games
2.06
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Lajovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning D. Lajovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -3.56Trend mixed

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS -8.46Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Lajovic
Stat
Arnaldi
58.3%
Win rate
63.4%
270–193
W–L
116–67

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults4