A. Zverev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning A. Zverev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Zverev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.