Odds
Player analysis
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Atmane | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Apr | Shevchenko | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Droguet | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Duckworth | 6-7 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Hopman Cup | Clay | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 7-6 | ||
| Antwerp | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Bautista-Agut | 6-3 2-6 6-7 | |
| Astana | Indoor | 1/16-finals | Bautista-Agut | 4-6 6-7 | |
| ATP ATP Cup | Hard | Auger-Aliassime | 6-7 3-6 | ||
| US Open | Hard | 1/16-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 3-6 | |
| Cologne | Hard | Semi-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 1-6 6-3 |