Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Musetti | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 26 Jan | Musetti | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 11 Jan | Musetti | 6-7 3-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai | Hard | 1/8-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 6-2 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Musetti | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | 3rd place | Musetti | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | |
| ATP Davis Cup - World Group | Hard | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 4-6 | ||
| Florence | Clay | Semi-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 6-2 6-3 | |
| Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/16-finals | Musetti | 2-6 6-7 |