Australian OpenHard1/32-finals22 Jan 2026 · 01:40
L. Musetti
#9 · Italy
VS
L. Sonego
#62 · Italy
MUSETTI
1.38
·
SONEGO
3.36

Odds

Market
Musetti
Sonego
Winner
1.38
3.36
Total
line 34.5
1.52
Over 34.5
2.24
Under 34.5
Total
line 35.0
1.56
Over 35.0
2.18
Under 35.0
Handicap
games
3.72
-7.5 games
1.24
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
3.4
-7.0 games
1.28
+7 games

Player analysis

L. Musetti shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 50. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 12.8, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS 3.7Trend up

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.13Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Musetti
Stat
Sonego
54.3%
Win rate
49.1%
126–106
W–L
136–141

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

22
Hard 10
Indoor 11
Clay 01
L. Musetti vs L. Sonego head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHard1/32-finalsMusetti6-3 6-3 6-4
ParisIndoor1/16-finalsSonego6-3 3-6 1-6
ATP ViennaIndoor1/16-finalsMusetti3-6 2-6
Italian ChampionshipClayQuarter-finalsSonego7-5 6-3