MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2026 · 16:05
I. Jovic
#16 · USA
VS
P. Badosa
#102 · Spain
JOVIC
1.63
·
BADOSA
2.4

Odds

Market
Jovic
Badosa
Winner
1.63
2.4
Total
line 18.5
1.23
Over 18.5
3.42
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.28
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
3.84
-5.5 games
1.2
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
3.56
-5.0 games
1.23
+5 games

Player analysis

I. Jovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.6 with a downward trend. I. Jovic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.63Trend down

P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -1.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Jovic
Stat
Badosa
69.2%
Win rate
59.5%
63–28
W–L
131–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults5