Odds
Player analysis
I. Jovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.6 with a downward trend. I. Jovic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Osorio | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Tomljanovic | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Blinkova | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 18 Feb | Pegula | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Shnaider | 6-4 1-6 6-0 | W |

