BeijingHard1/16-finals28 Sep 2025 · 11:20
K. Muchova
#12 · Czech Republic
VS
P. Badosa
#102 · Spain
MUCHOVA
1.51
·
BADOSA
2.75

Odds

Market
Muchova
Badosa
Winner
1.51
2.75

Player analysis

K. Muchova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 40. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.32Trend down

P. Badosa comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.

DS -3.75Trend down

Recent form

LWWWW

4W 1L last 5

26 MarGauff6-1 6-1L
24 MarMboko5-7 6-7W
23 MarEala6-0 6-2W
21 MarBoulter6-3 7-5W
20 MarOsorio4-6 6-2 7-5W

Hard court stats

Muchova
Stat
Badosa
69.3%
Win rate
59.5%
138–61
W–L
131–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces3
Double faults5