Odds
Player analysis
R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
T. Fritz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Molcan | 6-0 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Sakamoto | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 3 Apr | Forejtek | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 2 Apr | Berini | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 4-6 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Lehecka | 6-4 6-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Opelka | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Zandschulp | 3-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Michelsen | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fearnley | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | W |

