Odds
Player analysis
R. Carballes Baena has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.4 to 28.7, with at least one match where R. Carballes Baena was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 29 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Martinez | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 3 Apr | Forejtek | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 2 Apr | Berini | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Baena | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Jong | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Ofner | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murcia | Clay | Final | Carreno-Busta | 4-6 3-6 | |
| Rotterdam | Indoor | Semi-finals | Baena | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | |
| ATP Mallorca | Clay | 1/16-finals | Baena | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | |
| Tanger | Clay | Quarter-finals | Carreno-Busta | 6-2 1-6 5-7 | |
| Villajoyosa | Hard | Final | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 6-7 6-3 | |
| Badalona | Clay | Semi-finals | Carreno-Busta | 2-6 3-6 |

