MurciaClayFinal22 Mar 2026 · 11:00
R. Carballes Baena
#204 · Spain
VS
P. Carreno-Busta
#92 · Spain
BAENA
2.87
·
CARRENO-BUSTA
1.46

Odds

Market
Baena
Carreno-Busta
Winner
2.87
1.46
Total
line 18.5
1.24
Over 18.5
3.46
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
2.97
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
2.24
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.02
-2.5 games
1.69
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Carballes Baena has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.4 to 28.7, with at least one match where R. Carballes Baena was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.18Trend mixed

P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.48Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baena
Stat
Carreno-Busta
61.3%
Win rate
64.6%
460–291
W–L
267–146

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %80%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
BP converted50%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

24
Clay 13
Indoor 10
Hard 01
R. Carballes Baena vs P. Carreno-Busta head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MurciaClayFinalCarreno-Busta4-6 3-6
RotterdamIndoorSemi-finalsBaena4-6 6-3 1-6
ATP MallorcaClay1/16-finalsBaena7-6 4-6 7-6
TangerClayQuarter-finalsCarreno-Busta6-2 1-6 5-7
VillajoyosaHardFinalCarreno-Busta6-3 6-7 6-3
BadalonaClaySemi-finalsCarreno-Busta2-6 3-6